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MARKETS  FOR 16-21 APRIL  2019

NIFTY SPOT 9 YEARS MONTHLY CHART 31 JANUARY 2005 TO 20 JUNE 2014       

CHART BELOW IS NOT UPDATED 
 

 


 

 



                                     

 

 

UPDATING TO RESUME FROM MONDAY 22ND  APRIL

MARKETS FOR 16THAPRIL NIFTY CONTINUES TO LOOK STRONG TOWARDS ANOTHER LIFE TIME HIGHS ABOVE 3RD APRIL HIGHS OF 11761 SPOT & 11834 FUTURES. SO, LOOK FOR INTRADAY DECLINES TO BUY FOR GOOD INTRADAY GAINS. STOP LOSS CAN BE PLACED BELOW 11650 SPOT AND 11680 FUTURES ON A 30 MINUTE CANDLE CLOSING BASIS. (INTRADAY TRADING LEVELS TO TRADE NIFTY FUTURES AND OPTIONS BOTH LONG AND SHORT BASED ON INTRADAY TIME FRAME INDICATORS ARE FOR SUBSCRIBERS ONLY)

JOIN OUR CONCESSIONAL SUBSCRIPTION RATES EXCLUSIVELY FOR STUDENTS, LADIES AND ARMED FORCES 

MARKETS FOR 15THAPRIL  IT WAS THE 2ND WEEK OF PAUSE IN THE FORM OF A WEEKLY HAMMER AFTER THE DOJI WEEK FORMED FOR THE WEEKENDING  5TH APRIL. THIS DOJI HAMMER COMBINATION HAS COME AFTER 5 WEEKS OF RISE SUGGESTING TRADERS TO LOOK FOR DECLINES TO TRADE LONG AS LONG AS NIFTY  DOES NOT BREACH AND MORE IMPORTANTLY CLOSE BELOW 11550 SPOT 11600 FUTURES . IF THIS HAPPENS THEN ONE CAN QUIT SWING LONGS AND INITIATE SWING SHORTS.

THE DAILY CHARTS TOO LOOK BULLISH AFTER NIFTY  HAS CLOSED ABOVE ITS PREVIOUS DAY 7TH NR DOJI DAILY CANDLE HIGH OF THURSDAY 11TH APRIL. STOP LOSS CAN BE PLACED BELOW 11550 SPOT WHICH IS THE LOWS OF THIS 7TH NR DOJI CANDLE OF 11TH APRIL AND EVERY INTRADAY DECLINE TOWARDS FRIDAY’S LOWS OR TOWARDS 11550 BE USED TO BOLDLY ADD SWING LONGS.

FUTURE TRADERS CAN HAVE STOP LOSS BELOW 11600 FUTURES ON AT LEAST A 30 MINUTE CANDLE CLOSING BASIS AND USE EVERY INTRADAY DECLINE TO ADD LONG POSITIONS. ON A CANDLE CLOSING BELOW 11550 SPOT & 11600 FUTURES ONE SHOULD QUIT SWING LONGS AND INITIATE FRESH SHORTS. (INTRADAY TRADING LEVELS TO TRADE NIFTY FUTURES AND OPTIONS BOTH LONG AND SHORT BASED ON INTRADAY TIME FRAME INDICATORS ARE FOR SUBSCRIBERS ONLY) 

MARKETS FOR 12THAPRIL IN THE WEEKLY CHARTS NIFTY IS IN A PAUSE MODE WITH A BULLISH BIAS AS LAST WEEK NIFTY HAD A CLOSING AROUND 11666 SPOT & 11760 FUTURES SUGGESTING TRADERS TO BOLDLY GO LONG FOR INTRADAY TRADING SHOULD NIFTY BE PULLED DOWN TO RETEST THURSDAY’S LOWS OF 11550 SPOT OR 11605 TO 11600  FUTURES.IN CASE NIFTY IS TAKEN UP INITIALLY THEN A FAILURE TO BREACH AND STAY ABOVE 11616 SPOT &  11700 FUTURES THEN BOLDLY TRADE SHORT WITH  STOP LOSS A FEW POINTS ABOVE THESE LEVELS TO REVERSE AND TRADE LONG.

HAVING MADE A NEW LIFE TIME HIGH OF 11761 SPOT ON 3RD APRIL, NIFTY IS ON A PAUSE MODE WITHIN A TIGHT RANGE. NIFTY AFTER A FEW DAYS WILL BE LIFTED UP TO MAKE ANOTHER NEW LIFE TIME HIGHS ABOVE 11761 SPOT  MAY BE IN APRIL ITSELF. SO USE BIG DECLINES TO TRADE LONG. (INTRADAY TRADING LEVELS TO TRADE NIFTY FUTURES AND OPTIONS BOTH LONG AND SHORT BASED ON INTRADAY TIME FRAME INDICATORS ARE FOR SUBSCRIBERS ONLY)

MARKETS FOR 11THAPRIL WITH 5 CONSECUTIVE DAYS OF ALTERNATE DAYS OF  RISE AND FALL IN NIFTY, WITH THE FALL ON WEDNESDAY, ONE SHOULD LOGICALLY BE PREPARED TO SEE A RISE ON THURSDAY. WELL, THAT’S NOT GOING TO HAPPEN AND AT THE BEST NIFTY MAY BE MAY TO CLOSE FLAT IF NOT ANOTHER MEGA FALL. SO DECEPTION WILL BE IN FULL FORCE AND INSTEAD OF A POSITIVE DAY, SHOULD BE PREPARED TO SEE A FLAT OR NEGATIVE DAY.

FOR INTRADAY TRADING OF NIFTY FUTURES ON THURSDAY, AS LONG AS NIFTY FUTURE REMAINS BELOW 11690 IT WILL INVITE MEGA SHORTING ON EVERY INTRADAY RISE WITH STOP LOSS ABOVE 11700 TO REVERSE AND GO LONG. ON THE DOWN SIDE A FALL TO BREACH MONDAY 8TH APRIL LOWS OF 11622 FUTURES CAN BE USED TO ADD MORE SHORT POSITIONS. SO IF LONGS ARE INITIATED ON DECLINES TOWARDS  PREVIOUS DAYS LOWS OF 11640 TO 11630 FUTURES THEN THE STOP LOSS SHOULD BE A FEW POINTS  BELOW 11622 TO TRADE SHORT.

MARKETS FOR 10THAPRIL RISE FROM THE DAY LOW OF 11569 SPOT & 11632 FUTURES TO REACH A HIGH OF 11684 SPOT & 11750 FUTURES TO CLOSE VERY NEAR THE HIGHS IS TECHNICALLY A HIGHLY BULLISH INDICATION. BUT THE FACT THAT IT HAS GONE UP FROM THE LOWS OF 11632 FUTURES TO 11750 FUTURES, ONE MUST EXPECT A REASONABLE DOWN SIDE CORRECTION WHETHER AT THE START OR AFTER SOME RISE DEPENDING ON TYPE OF DECEPTION PLANNED. WHENEVER THE TECHNICALS INDICATE A RISE IN 8 OUT OF 10 CASES THE MARKETS WILL FALL AND VICE VERSA. REMEMBER THIS FOR INDIAN MARKETS.

FOR INTRADAY TRADING OF NIFTY FUTURES BE READY TO SHORT NIFTY FUTURES IN CASE IT FAILS TO SHOW FOLLOW UP ACTION ON WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH STOP LOSS ABOVE 11780 TO REVERSE FOR LONGS. SIMILARLY ON THE DOWN SIDE IN CASE NIFTY FUTURES BREACHES & STAYS BELOW JAMES BOND FIGURE OF 11707 THEN GO MEGA SHORTS OR ADD ON TO THE SHORTS. THIS 11707 FUTURE WAS THE OPENING & HIGH OF NIFTY FUTURES TILL 2PM ON TUESDAY WHEN IT GOT BREACHED TO JUMP FOR A NEW DAY HIGH OF 11750.

IF SHORTING FUTURES, THEN WITH IT SELL LOWER PUTS OF 11600 ON FALL OF NIFTY AND IF BUYING FUTURES THEN WITH IT SELL HIGHER CALLS ON RISE OF NIFTY TO POCKET THE HEFTY PREMIUM ON THESE. REMEMBER TECHNICALLY NIFTY IS BULLISH AND WILL CERTAINLY TEST AND BREACH THE LIFE TIME HIGH OF 11761 SPOT MANY TIMES DURING THE WEEKS AHEAD. BEFORE THIS HAPPENS MANY DECEPTIVE MOVES WILL BE SEEN  THAT MAY GIVE GOOD GAINS TO CONTRA TRADERS USING RISE OR PAUSE TO SHORT WITH A STOP LOSS TO QUIT & REVERSE.

MARKETS FOR 9THAPRIL NIFTY MADE A LOWER HIGH , LOWER LOW AND A LOWER CLOSING SUGGESTING THAT THE 30 MINUTE TERMINATING CANDLE OF FRIDAY WAS A FRAUDULENT ONE & A BULL TRAP WAS ESTABLISHED TO ALLURE BULLS TO BUY  ON FRIDAY BUT  ONLY TO BE TRAPPED BADLY ON MONDAY. IN SPITE OF ALL THE FALLS ON MONDAY MAKING A BEARISH ENGULFING DAILY CANDLE, STILL BULLS HAVE A HOPE FOR A NEW LIFE TIME HIGH IN CASE NIFTY DOES NOT FALL AND MORE IMPORTANTLY CLOSE BELOW 11549 SPOT & 11622 FUTURES WHICH WILL BE BELOW THE LOWS OF MONDAY’S BEARISH ENGULFING DAILY CANDLE.

FOR TUESDAY’S TRADING OF FUTURES, 11636 FUTURES WILL PLAY A MAJOR ROLE. A BREACH AND MORE IMPORTANTLY A CLOSURE OF A CANDLE BELOW 11636 CAN, NOT ONLY BREACH MONDAY’S LOWS OF 11622 FUTURES BUT ALSO WILL SLIDE PAST THE CRITICAL 11600. SO TRADE SHORT IN CASE NIFTY FUTURES SLIDES AND STAYS BELOW 11636.

ON THE HIGHER SIDE 11700 TO 11710 FUTURES MAY POSE AS A MAJOR RESISTANCE. A DECISIVE BREACH AND MORE IMPORTANTLY STAY ABOVE 11710 FUTURES CAN GENERATE HEAVY SHORT COVERING TO PROPEL NIFTY FUTURES TOWARDS 11750 OR HIGHER LEVELS TO TRY N RETEST MONDAY’S HIGHS OF 11780.

FUTURES BUYERS MUST WRITE 11750 CALLS IN NIFTY RISE AND FUTURE SHORTES MUST WRITE 11600 PUTS ON MARKET DECLINES TO POCKET HEFTY PREMIUMS ON THESE OPTIONS. FOR TUESDAY A FAILURE ON PART OF NIFTY FUTURES TO CROSS 11710 CAN BE USED TO MEGA SHORTS AT ANY LEVELS NEARER TO IT FOR GOOD GAINS WITH STOP LOSS ABOVE 11717 FUTURES TO REVERSE AND GO LONG.

MARKETS FOR 8THAPRIL  WEEKLY CLOSE AT 11665 SPOT HIGH ABOVE ITS PREVIOUS WEEK’S HIGHS OF 11630 SPOT  WITH HIGHER WEEKLY HIGHS AND HIGHER WEEKLY LOWS INDICATES THAT AFTER TWO DAYS OF CORRECTIONS THE MARKETS HAVE RESUMED ITS UP MOVE TOWARDS ANOTHER NEW LIFE TIME HIGHS ABOVE 3RD APRIL HIGHS OF 11761 SPOT & 11834 FUTURES. THE ONLY CONCERN FOR THE BULLS CAN BE THE WEEKLY DOJI FORMED ON FRIDAY 5TH APRIL. IT WAS THE LAST 30 MINUTE CANDLE OF BOTH SPOT & FUTURE NIFTY THAT COMPLETELY CHANGED THE BEARISH SETUPS INTO BULLISH SETUPS FOR THE COMING WEEK.

FOR MONDAY, EXPECT THE FOLLOW UP MOVE TO CONTINUE FROM WHERE NIFTY HAS CLOSED ON FRIDAY WITH A HIGHLY BULLISH 30 MINUTE CANDLE. HOWEVER TILL SUCH TIME NIFTY DOES NOT RISE TO CLOSE ABOVE 11761 SPOT & 11834 FUTURES THE FEAR OF DOUBLE HEAD WILL REMAIN AND SLIGHT AMOUNT OF DOWN SWING WILL GENERATE FEARS IN THE MINDS OF TRADERS TO QUICKLY QUIT LONGS AND ENTER SHORTS. HOWEVER AS LONG AS NIFTY DOES NOT FALL TO CLOSE A 30 MINUTE CANDLE BELOW 11625 SPOT & 11700 FUTURES, THERE SHOULD BE NO FEAR IN THE MINDS OF TRADERS WHO HAD INITIATED FRESH LONGS AND BOUGHT CALLS ON FRIDAY AND ARE STILL HOLDING. MOST LIKELY THE UP MOVE RESUMED ON FRIDAY SHOULD SHOW A GOOD FOLLOW UP ACTION ON MONDAY ALSO.

 

MARKETS FOR 5THAPRIL THE FALL IN NIFTY CONTINUED AND LIKELY TO CONTINUE. SHORT POSITION HOLDERS FROM 3RD APRIL LIFE TIME HIGHS OF 11761 SPOT OR 11830 FUTURES MAY CONTINUE TO HOLD THE SHORTS TO ADD MORE ON EVERY RETRACEMENT RISE TOWARDS 11750 FUTURES. LAST & FINAL SUPPORT FOR NIFTY FUTURE IS AROUND 11600 BREACHING WHICH CAN SEE BIGGER FALLS.AS OF NOW THE HIGHS OF WEDNESDAY 3RD APRIL CAN BE THE STOP LOSS FOR SWING TRADERS.

FOR INTRADAY TRADING ON FRIDAY, LAST FRIDAY’S WEEKLY CLOSING AROUND  11624 SPOT & 11680 FUTURES  WILL PLAY A MAJOR ROLE, AS THIS WAS ALSO THE CLOSING OF FUTURES ON THURSDAY 4TH APRIL.  A RISE TO BREACH AND STAY ABOVE 11700 TO 11710 FUTURE ZONE CAN GENERATE SHORT COVERING TOWARDS THURSDAY’S HIGHS OF 11755 OR HIGHER LEVELS. SINCE NIFTY IS MAKING LOWER LOWS, POSSIBILITY OF BREACHING AND MORE IMPORTANTLY STAYING ABOVE THURSDAYS HIGHS OF 11755 MAY BE DIFFICULT & WILL  INVITE HEAVY SHORTING ACTION .

ON THE LOWER SIDE, A BREACH OF THURSDAY’S LOWS OF 11641 FUTURES CAN SEE BIGGER FALLS TOWARDS 11600 WHERE BUYING CAN BE EXPECTED. HOWEVER A DECISIVE BREACH AND CLOSE BELOW THE CRITICAL LEVEL OF 11600 CAN SEE MUCH BIGGER FALLS EVEN DURING THE COMING WEEK AS FEAR OF DOUBLE HEAD AROUND 11760 SPOT WILL HUNT THE MINDS OF TRADERS AND PANICKY MAY SET IN.

 2 IN 1 OUT SIDE MEGA BEARISH CANDLE SET UP OF WEDNESDAY 3RD APRIL FOLLOWED BY THE BEARISH CANDLE OF THURSDAY 4TH APRIL CLOSING BELOW THE LOWS OF THE BEARISH OUTSIDE CANDLE SETUP, SPELLS DANGER FOR THE BULLS DURING THE COMING DAYS THAT WILL INVITE HEAVY SHORTING ACTION ON EVERY INTRADAY RISE TILL NEW  LIFE TIME HIGH IS MADE.   

MARKETS FOR 4TH  APRIL    SAVAGE FALL FROM A DAY HIGH OF 11761 SPOT JUST AFTER BREACHING EARLIER LIFE TIME HIGHS OF 11760 SPOT IS A CLEAR INDICATION OF HEAVY PROFIT BOOKING BY SWING TRADERS NEAR THE DAY HIGHS TO POCKET HANDSOME PROFITS. ALTHOUGH NIFTY CONTINUES TO REMAIN BULLISH AND WILL SOON MAKE ANOTHER LIFE TIME HIGH ABOVE 11761 SPOT, ONE SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION BECAUSE AFTER EVERY LIFE TIME HIGH A CORRECTION FOR A FEW DAYS GENERALLY TAKES PLACE BEFORE RISING AGAIN TO BREACH THE EARLIER LIFE TIME HIGH.

ON 3RD APRIL, NIFTY CLOSED AT 11636 SPOT & 11730 FUTURES . SPOT NIFTY CLOSED BELOW THE LOWS OF ITS TWO PREVIOUS DAYS WHICH WERE DOJI DAYS. HENCE A FALL TO BREACH AND STAY BELOW WEDNESDAY’S LOWS OF 11636 SPOT CAN CERTAINLY SEE BIGGER FALLS AS PART OF THE CORRECTION,  AFTER NIFTY ROSE FROM 19TH FEB LOWS OF 10585 TILL  3RD APRIL HIGHS OF 11761 SPOT LEVELS.

A FALL TO BREACH AND STAY BELOW 11629 SPOT & 11700 FUTURES CAN TRIGGER THE NECK LINE BREACH OF DOUBLE HEAD MADE ON 1ST & 3RD APRIL FOR ANOTHER 100 TO 130 POINT FALL FROM 11629 SPOT & 11707 FUTURE. ONLY A 50 BASIS POINT RATE CUT BY RBI CAN SAVE NIFTY. A 25 POINT RATE CUT IS ALREADY IN THE PRICE & NIFTY MAY FALL AFTER THE 25 POINT RATE CUT ANNOUNCEMENT. A NO RATE CUT AS A NEGATIVE SURPRISE CAN SEE THE BIGGEST CRASH OF 2019.

BETTER TO INITIATE FRESH TRADES AFTER THE RATE ANNOUNCEMENT TO AVOID GETTING TRAPPED. EVEN AFTER A FAVORABLE RATE CUT OF 50 POINTS NIFTY MAY FALL FROM COMING WEEK IF NOT ON THURSDAY OR FRIDAY. THREE BLACK CROWS CANDLE FORMATION IN THE 30 MINUTE CHART OF SPOT NIFTY  IS NOT A HEALTHY SIGN FOR BULLS WHO WILL LOOK FOR EVERY OPPORTUNITY TO QUIT THE LONGS TO ENTER SHORT AFTER RATE ANNOUNCEMENT IF IT IS ANYTHING OTHER THAN 50 POINT RATE CUT.

A RISE TO BREACH AND CLOSE A 30 MINUTE CANDLE ABOVE 11711 SPOT & 11780 FUTURES CAN GENERATE GOOD SHORT COVERING TO SEE WEDNESDAY’S HIGHS OF 11761 SPOT & 11834 FUTURES BEING RETESTED FOR HIGHER LEVELS OTHERWISE THE DOWN SIDE CORRECTION MAY CONTINUE. (INTRADAY TRADING LEVELS TO TRADE NIFTY FUTURES AND OPTIONS BOTH LONG AND SHORT BASED ON INTRADAY TIME FRAME INDICATORS ARE FOR SUBSCRIBERS ONLY)

MARKETS FOR 3RD APRIL USE EVERY INTRADAY DECLINE TOWARDS PREVIOUS DAY’S LOWS TO ADD LONGS. HAVE STOP LOSS BELOW 11644 SPOT & 11688 FUTURES ON A DAILY OR AT LEAST A 30 MINUTE CANDLE CLOSING BASIS TO QUIT LONGS AND START SHORTS (INTRADAY TRADING LEVELS TO TRADE NIFTY FUTURES AND OPTIONS BOTH LONG AND SHORT BASED ON INTRADAY TIME FRAME INDICATORS ARE FOR SUBSCRIBERS ONLY)

MARKETS FOR 2NDAPRIL THE MONTH STARTED ON A HIGHLY BULLISH NOTE CLEARLY INDICATING WHAT IS IN STORE FOR REST OF THE MONTH. NIFTY MADE A DAY HIGH OF 11738 SPOT & 11822 FUTURES. ALTHOUGH SENSEX, BNF & NIFTY FUTURES MADE NEW LIFE TIME HIGHS, IT IS JUST A MATTER OF TIME TO SEE NIFTY SPOT MAKING NEW LIFE TIME HIGHS ABOVE 28TH AUGUST 2018 HIGHS OF 11760 SPOT. SO, USE DECLINES TO BUY AND HOLD AS LONG AS NIFTY DOES NOT FALL TO BREACH AND MORE IMPORTANTLY CLOSE A 30 MINUTE CANDLE BELOW 11566 SPOT &  11633 FUTURES. TILL THIS HAPPENS EVERY BIG DECLINE IS A BUY WITH STOP LOSS BELOW 11566 SPOT & 11633 FUTURES TO QUIT LONGS AND ENTER SHORT. (INTRADAY TRADING LEVELS TO TRADE NIFTY FUTURES AND OPTIONS BOTH LONG AND SHORT BASED ON INTRADAY TIME FRAME INDICATORS ARE FOR SUBSCRIBERS ONLY)

MARKETS FOR 1ST APRIL  MONTHLY & WEEKLY CLOSING FOR NIFTY WAS HIGHLY BULLISH EVEN THOUGH DAILY CLOSE IN THE FORM OF A RED DRAGONFLY DOJI AT MARKET TOPS IS A SIGN OF CAUTION FOR THE BULLS TO HEDGE THE LONGS TO ADD MORE LONGS ON DECLINES BY THE MERE STRENGTH OF MONTHLY & WEEKLY CANDLES. SWING LONG HOLDERS CONTINUE TO HOLD LONGS AND ADD MORE ON DECLINES AS LONG AS NIFTY SPOT REMAINS ABOVE 25TH MARCH SWING LOWS OF 11300 SPOT & QUIT ALL SWING LONGS TO INITIATE SWING SHORTS ONLY ON A CLOSE BELOW 11300 SPOT.

FOR INTRADAY TRADERS OF NIFTY FUTURES, NIFTY LOOKS  FLAT TO MILDLY WEAK FOR MONDAY ONLY TO FOOL EVERYONE ON THE FOOL’S DAY TO SHOW WEAKNESS BUT WILL RISE. STRONG SUPPORT COMES AROUND FUTURES LEVELS OF 11650 TO 11640 ZONE STAYING BELOW WHICH CAN SEE NIFTY FUTURES FALLING TOWARDS  STRONGER SUPPORT AREA AROUND 11600 FOR HEFTY BUYING ACTION AGAIN.

ON THE HIGHER SIDE, FUTURES BREACHING AND MORE IMPORTANTLY STAYING ABOVE FRIDAY’S HIGHS OF 11718 IS A SIGN OF STRENGTH TO TRIGGER SHORT COVERING RISE TOWARDS 11740  THEN 11760 TO 11770 FUTURE LEVELS. BREACHING AND STAYING ABOVE FRIDAY’S HIGHS OF 11718 WILL TRIGGER THE 15 & 30 MINUTES CHART’S ROUNDING BOTTOM BREAKOUT FOR MUCH HIGHER LEVELS , SO MAKE USE OF IT IN CASE THIS HAPPENS.

MARKETS FOR 29TH MARCH  LAST DAY OF THE MONTH & WEEK CAN SEE  BIG MOVES EITHER WAY. IN ANY CASE THE HIGHLY BULLISH CLOSURE ON THE EXPIRY  IN CASE SHOWS FOLLOW UP ACTION ON FRIDAY THEN ONE CAN CERTAINLY SEE BIGGER MOVES IN DAYS TO COME.

FOR FRIDAY OR DAYS AHEAD, 11550 SPOT IS CRITICAL, A BREACH AND MORE IMPORTANTLY CLOSURE OF A 30 MINUTE CANDLE BELOW 11500 SPOT & 11582 FUTURES ONLY CAN SEE FALLS IN NIFTY OTHERWISE EVERY DECLINE TOWARDS THESE LEVELS OR INTRADAY DOWN SIDE RETRACEMENTS CAN BE USED TO BUY FUTURES OR CALLS & BE HELD WITH STOP LOSS BELOW 11500 SPOT & 11580 LEVELS BUT ON A 30 MINUTE CANDLE CLOSING BASIS  TO REVERSE FOR SHORTS.

(INTRADAY TRADING LEVELS TO TRADE NIFTY FUTURES AND OPTIONS BOTH LONG AND SHORT BASED ON INTRADAY TIME FRAME INDICATORS ARE FOR SUBSCRIBERS ONLY)

MARKETS FOR 28TH MARCH MONTHLY EXPIRY DAY, SO NO TRADE IS BEST TRADE. IF ONE HAS TO TRADE THEN INTRADAY SHORTS ON RISE MAY BE USEFUL. A FALL  AND MORE IMPORTANTLY  A CLOSER OF A CANDLE BELOW WEDNESDAYS LOWS CAN SEE BIGGER FALLS AND STAY BELOW 11400 CAN SEE MORE FALLS. ONLY A RISE TO STAY ABOVE 11484  IS BULLISH TO TRIGGER SHORT COVERING THAT CAN PROPEL NIFTY TOWARDS 11500 TOWARDS 11525 OR HIGHER SPOT LEVELS. BEST IS TRADE VERY VERY LIMITED OR AVOID TRADING ALTOGETHER ON THE EXPIRY DAY.

MARKETS FOR 27TH MARCH THE FACT THAT NIFTY BREACHED MONDAY’S HIGHS OF 11395 SPOT & 11419 FUTURES AND STAYED ABOVE IT TO CLOSE A 30 MINUTE CANDLE ABOVE IT, IT TURNED BULLISH AND SAW MASSIVE SHORT COVERING TO PROPEL NIFTY TOWARDS MUCH HIGHER LEVELS OF 11496 SPOT & 11523 FUTURES SHIFTING THE GEAR FROM SHORT TO LONG. THUS LONGS INITIATED ABOVE MONDAY’S HIGHS OF 11419 FUTURES BE HELD WITH STOP LOSS BELOW THIS ONLY. SIMILARLY CALLS OF 11400 AND 11500 BOUGHT CAN ALSO BE HELD FOR EXCELLENT GAINS TO QUIT ONLY AT  THE BUY PRICE OR NIFTY SPOT BREACHES 11400. IN CASE NIFTY BREACHES RECENT SWING HIGH OF 11572 SPOT & 11596 FUTURES THEN MORE LONGS AND CALLS BE ADDED. (INTRADAY TRADING LEVELS TO TRADE NIFTY FUTURES AND OPTIONS BOTH LONG AND SHORT BASED ON INTRADAY TIME FRAME INDICATORS ARE FOR SUBSCRIBERS ONLY)

 MARKETS FOR 26TH MARCH AS LONG AS NIFTY REMAINS BELOW FRIDAY 22ND MARCH LOWS OF 11434 SPOT IT WILL REMAIN WEAK TO RETRACE FIBONACCI LEVELS OF 38.2% TILL AROUND 11200, 50% AROUND 11080 AND 61.8% LEVELS OF 10962 SPOT NIFTY LEVELS. IN BETWEEN THERE WILL BE RETRACEMENT RISES TO GENERATE A FEELING THAT BULL RUN HAS RESUMED.

 AS LONG AS 22ND MARCH SWING HIGH OF 11572 SPOT IS NOT BREACHED  TO CLOSE ABOVE IT, EVERY RETRACEMENT RISE IS A SHORTING OPPORTUNITY. SO, SWING SHORTERS AND APRIL PUT HOLDERS CAN HAVE A WIDER STOP LOSS ABOVE 11572 SPOT LEVELS ON A CLOSING BASIS AND RIDE THE DOWN SWING, ONLY TO REVERSE AND GO LONG IF SPOT NIFTY CLOSES ABOVE 11572. FROM 1ST APRIL OUR SUBSCRIPTION RATES WILL BE DRASTICALLY REDUCED TO ACCOMMODATE MORE SUBSCRIBERS FOR GUARANTEED INTRADAY & SHORT SWING GAINS. SO, MAKE FULL USE OF THIS FACILITY. CONTACT ON MOBILE NUMBERS GIVEN AT THE BOTTOM (INTRADAY TRADING LEVELS TO TRADE NIFTY FUTURES AND OPTIONS BOTH LONG AND SHORT BASED ON INTRADAY TIME FRAME INDICATORS ARE FOR SUBSCRIBERS ONLY)

MARKETS FOR 25TH MARCH SEE THE GREAT GAINS SWING TRADERS ARE HAVING FROM OUR EARLY MARCH SUGGESTED LEVELS OF 10900 TILL FRIDAY 22ND HIGHS OF 11596 FUTURES. WELL, IT IS WISER TO BOOK PROFIT BEFORE THE PROFITS GET FURTHER DEPLETED. SO, ON THE GAP DOWN OR AFTER A RETRACEMENT RISE BOOK PROFIT ON ALL OR AT LEAST HALF THE FUTURES AND HELD CALLS OF 11000. THERE IS NOTHING LIKE POCKETING THE PROFIT NOW AND RE ENTER LONGS IN CASE NIFTY CROSSES AND CLOSES ABOVE 22ND MARCH HIGHS OF 11555 SPOT & 11596 FUTURES. ALTHOUGH OUTRIGHT SHORTING IS NOT SUGGESTED NOW, ONE CAN USE INTRADAY RETRACEMENT RISE TO INITIATE PUTS BUYING.

 AFTER MAKING A SWING LOW OF 10585 SPOT & 10645 FUTURES ON 19TH FEB, NIFTY HAS GONE UP  LIKE A ROCKET TILL 22ND MARCH HIGHS OF 11555 SPOT & 11596 FUTURES A RISE OF NEARLY 1000 POINTS. SO IT IS NORMAL TO EXPECT A GOOD DOWN SIDE RETRACEMENT TOWARDS FIBO LEVELS OF 38.2% OR 50% OR 61.8% BEFORE THE MODI UP-WAVE RESUMES BUT ONLY TO BE DISAPPOINTED DURING LAST WEEK OF MAY. SECONDLY A FAILURE TO BREACH AND CLOSE ABOVE EARLIER 28TH AUGUST 2018 LIFE TIME HIGHS OF 11710 SPOT CAN EASILY SEE NIFTY FALLING BADLY TOWARDS 10000 LEVELS AGAIN, MAY BE AFTER MAY 2019 IRRESPECTIVE OF MODI VICTORY OR NOT.

ONE SHOULD BE MENTALLY PREPARED FOR A HUNG PARLIAMENT AS THE MOST LIKELY OUTCOME OF 2019 MAY 23RD ELECTION RESULTS, EVEN THOUGH NATION WANTS MODI SHOULD BE THE NEXT PM TO CONTINUE WITH THE WELCOME REFORMS & DEVELOPMENTS STARTED BY HIS GOVT. REMEMBER THE WEEKS BEFORE THE 2004 LECTION RESULTS ON MAY 17TH ,WHEN EVERYONE EXPECTED NDA TO WIN THE ELECTIONS BUT SEE WHAT HAPPENED, CONGRESS WITH LARGE COALITIONS INCLUDING CPM & CPI HAD TO FORM THE GOVT AND RULE THE NATION AND BJP HAD TO WAIT FOR 10 YEARS TO COME BACK TO POWER IN 2014. WHEN EVERYONE THINKS ONE WAY , GOD  DECIDES TO TAKE A DIFFERENT PATH. THIS HAS HAPPENED MANY TIMES IN THE PAST & THIS TIME IS NO EXCEPTION.

UPDATING WILL RESUME AFTER HOLI.

MARKETS FOR 12TH MARCH NIFTY BREACHED AND CLOSED ABOVE 7TH FEB SWING HIGHS OF 11090 SPOT AND 11130 FUTURES THAT TRIGGERED FRESH BUYING OF NIFTY FUTURES ON MONDAY. HOLD ALL FRESH LONGS  FOR THE REMAINING DAYS OF MARCH MONTH WITH A WIDER STOP LOSS BELOW 10900 SPOT & FUTURES. AS LONG AS  NIFTY DOES NOT FALL TO CLOSE BELOW 10900 IT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE UP. DON’T BOTHER  TO LOOK AT DOW FUTURES OR SGX NIFTY AS THESE WILL MISGUIDE .

TRADERS CAN EVEN HOLD LONGS AND GO ON A HOLIDAY TILL MARCH END WITH INSTRUCTIONS TO BROKERS TO ADD MORE LONGS TOWARDS 11000 OR BELOW IT WITH MUST STOP LOSS BELOW 10900 SPOT & FUTURES.

MARKETS FOR 11TH MARCH NIFTY AS EXPECTED MADE A LOWER HIGH LOWER LOW AND A LOWER CLOSING IN THE DAILY CHARTS HOWEVER IN THE WEEKLY CHARTS NIFTY  MADE A HIGHLY BULLISH CLOSE ABOVE THE HIGHS OF ITS PREVIOUS WEEK EVEN THOUGH THIS WEEK WAS A TRUNCATED WEEK CLEARLY INDICATED BY EXTREMELY LOW WEEKLY VOLUME FOR THIS WEEK’S BULLISH WEEKLY CANDLE. THE LAST THREE DAYS CANDLES FOR NIFTY GENERALLY INDICATE TOPPING OUT FORMATIONS. HOWEVER A RISE BY NIFTY TO CLOSE ABOVE 7TH FEB HIGHS OF 11090 SPOT AND 11130 FUTURES WITH GOOD VOLUME CAN NULLIFY THE BEARISH INDICATIONS GENERATED IN THE DAILY CHARTS.

FOR THE COMING WEEK ONE CAN GENERALLY EXPECT A CORRECTION TO RETRACE SOME OF THE EXCESSES RIGHT FROM 19TH FEB SWING LOWS OF 10585 TILL 7TH MARCH SWING HIGHS OF 11090 SPOT.  FALL TO CLOSE AT LEAST A 30 MINUTE CANDLE BELOW 10998 SPOT & 11033 FUTURES WILL BE THE EARLY INDICATION OF WEAKNESS FOR LOWER LEVELS. TRADERS HOLDING LONGS CAN USE PAUSE OR INTRADAY RISE TO QUIT LONGS AND IN CASE NIFTY CLOSES A 30 MINUTE CANDLE BELOW 10998 SPOT AND 11033 FUTURES THEN ONE CAN INITIATE FRESH SHORTS ADDING MORE ON INTRADAY RISES THERE AFTER.

SIX TIMES EARLIER, NIFTY HAS FALTERED AROUND 10950 TO 11000 LEVELS  TO COME AND FIND SUPPORT AROUND  10600 LEVELS AND THIS TIME SHOULD BE NO DIFFERENCE HOWEVER ANY DAY A RISE BY NIFTY TO BREACH AND MORE IMPORTANTLY CLOSE FOR TWO THREE DAYS ABOVE 11000 SPOT NIFTY CAN CERTAINLY SEE BIGGER UP MOVES . TILL THIS HAPPENS EXPECT PENDULUM SWING TYPE MOVES BETWEEN 110600 TO 110580 SPOT ON THE DOWN SIDE AND 11000 SPOT ON THE UP SIDE.

MARKETS FOR 8TH MARCH ALL THOSE WHO WERE HOLDING LONG POSITIONS SINCE LAST FRIDAY AND BOOKED HANDSOME PROFITS ABOVE 11100 NIFTY FUTURES SHOULD WAIT FOR THE RIGHT OPPORTUNITY TO ENTER AGAIN. OR CAN USE INTRADAY RISES TO ENTER SHORTS OR BUY 11000 PUTS IN  LIMITED QUANTITY TO RIDE THE DOWN SWING.

ALL THOSE WHO ARE STILL HOLDING LONGS MUST REDUCE  LONGS ON INTRADAY RISES AND MUST HAVE STOP LOSS FOR LONGS BELOW 11000 SPOT AND FUTURES. NIFTY LOOKS HIGHLY OVERBOUGHT AND RIPE FOR A CORRECTION TOWARDS FEBRUARY MONTH LOWS OF 10585 SPOT AND 10602 FUTURES DURING MARCH ITSELF OR EARLY APRIL. TRADE SAFE AND BE EXTREMELY CAUTIOUS ON CARRYING OVER OF UN-HEDGED LONG POSITIONS.

MARKETS FOR 7TH MARCH NIFTY NEARS THE DANGER ZONE OF 11100 SPOT AND FUTURES. HOLD HALF THE LONGS WITH STOP LOSS BELOW 11000 FUTURES AT LEAST ON A 30 MINUTE CANDLE CLOSING BASIS & USE INITIAL GAP UP OR SOME RISE ABOVE WEDNESDAY’S HIGH OF 11094 FUTURES TO BOOK PROFIT IN HALF OR HOLD ALL WITH STOP LOSS BELOW 11000 AND BUY A FEW PUTS OF 11000 OF 27TH MARCH SERIES AND HOLD WITH THE LONGS.

DO NOT WAIT FOR SELL SIGNALS TO BE SEEN BY YOU. NOTHING LIKE BOOKING PROFIT TO RE ENTER AT THE RIGHT OPPORTUNITY OR TRAIL THE STOP LOSS. (INTRADAY TRADING LEVELS TO TRADE NIFTY FUTURES AND OPTIONS BOTH LONG AND SHORT BASED ON INTRADAY TIME FRAME INDICATORS ARE FOR SUBSCRIBERS ONLY)

MARKETS FOR 6TH MARCH NIFTY LOOKS BULLISH AND MOST LIKELY WILL MOVE UP TO RETEST AND BREACH RECENT SWING HIGHS OF 11171 BOTH SPOT & FUTURES THAT WAS THE HIGH OF  7TH FEB AND ALSO THE HIGHS OF FEB MONTH. CLOSE YOUR EYES AND HOLD ALL LONG FUTURES WITH MUST STOP LOSS BELOW 10833 FUTURES & 10823 SPOT. USE BIG DECLINES IF AT ALL COMES TO BOLDLY ADD LONG FUTURES WITH THE ABOVE STOP LOSS. BY HOLDING ON TO LONG FUTURES ONE CAN USE RISES TO  TAKE LIMITED SHORT POSITIONS IN 11200 AND 11300. IF AT ALL DECLINE COMES THEN USE THE FALL TO BOLDLY WRITE 10700  & 10600 PUTS TO POCKET THE MARGIN ON THE OUT OF THE MONEY CALLS AND PUTS. OPTION BUYERS CAN USE DECLINES TO BUY AND ADD 11000 CALLS. STOP LOSS MUST BELOW 10823 SPOT TO QUIT LONGS, SHORTED PUTS AND BOUGHT CALLS

MARKETS FOR 5TH MARCH NIFTY SPOT HAVING TESTED THE FIBO 61.8% RETRACEMENT LEVEL  COUNTED FROM  7TH FEB SWING HIGH OF 11118 TO 19TH FEB SWING LOW OF 10585 IS RIPE FOR A CORRECTIVE DECLINE. HOWEVER AS LONG AS SPOT NIFTY DOES NOT FALL TO CLOSE BELOW 26TH FEB LOWS OF 10729, BULLS NEED NOT FEAR AT ALL AND USE DECLINES DURING THE WEEK TOWARDS 10800 OR 10750  SPOT TO BUY WITH MUST STOP LOSS BELOW 10729 SPOT TO TRADE SHORT. A FALL TO STAY BELOW 10750 SPOT IS THE 1ST SIGNAL TO REDUCE LONGS AND START BUYING PUTS OF 10700. THINGS ARE EXTREMELY VULNERABLE AT THE BOARDERS AND TRADERS ARE ADVISED TO HEDGE THE LONGS IF CARRYING OVER AS THINGS ARE SO FLUID THAT ANYTHING CAN HAPPEN SUDDENLY.

MARKETS FOR  22NDFEB NIFTY CONTINUED WITH THE RETRACEMENT RISE AFTER 8 CONSECUTIVE DAYS OF SAVAGE FALLS.IN SPITE OF BEING WEEKLY EXPIRY FOR OPTIONS, NIFTY FUTURE’S VOLUME ON THURSDAY WAS LOWER THAN THE VOLUME OF WEDNESDAY. NIFTY MANAGED TO TOUCH BOTH THE CRITICAL DOWN SLOPPING 21 & 34 DAY EMA AND CLOSED BELOW IT SUGGESTING THAT THE TWO DAYS OF  RETRACEMENT IS ABOUT TO END TO RESUME THE FALL EITHER ON FRIDAY ITSELF OR EARLY NEXT WEEK. TRADERS HOLDING LONG FUTURES FROM TUESDAY’S CLOSING LEVEL OF 10620 FUTURES MUST HAVE STOP LOSS BELOW  THURSDAY’S LOWS OF 10736 FUTURES  AT LEAST ON A 30 MINUTE CANDLE CLOSING BASIS OR IN CASE OF A RISE OR PAUSE BOOK PROFIT QUICKLY.

IF ONE HAS A CLOSER LOOK AT THE WEEKLY CHART OF NIFTY , ONE CAN EASILY SEE A GRADUAL  DOME FORMATION WHICH WILL BE COMPLETED IN NEXT FEW DAYS FOR BIGGER FALLS. IN THE WEEKLY CHART OF NIFTY, 20 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE HAS BREACHED 50 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE DOWNWARDS & IN DAILY CHARTS, 50 DMA HAS BREACHED 200 DMA DOWNWARDS AND 20 DMA HAS BREACHED BOTH 200 AND 50 DMA DOWNWARDS CONFIRMING THE BEAR MARKET SUGGESTING TRADERS TO LOOK FOR ANOTHER DAY OF RISE OR EVEN A PAUSE  TO START TAKING SHORT POSITIONS IN MARCH SERIES.

UPDATING WILL RESUME FROM MONDAY 4TH MARCH 

MARKETS FOR  21ST  FEB AFTER 8 CONSECUTIVE DAYS OF FALLS, NIFTY BOUNCED ON WEDNESDAY  OFFERING GREAT OPPORTUNITY FOR SHORT TERM  TRADERS TO TRADE LONG. HOLD ALL THE FUTURE LONG POSITIONS INITIATED ON WEDNESDAY  AND KEEP ON HOLDING TILL SUCH TIME NIFTY FALLS TO BREACH AND MORE IMPORTANTLY CLOSE BELOW 10640 SPOT AND 10660  FUTURES ON AT LEAST A 30 MINUTE CANDLE CLOSING BASIS.

JUST DON’T BOTHER ABOUT THE EXTREME FLUID SITUATION AT THE INDO PAK BOARDER . HAVE STOP LOSS AND HOLD THE LONGS TILL STOP LOSS IS TRIGGERED ON A 30 MINUTE CLOSING BASIS. (INTRADAY TRADING LEVELS TO TRADE NIFTY FUTURES AND OPTIONS BOTH LONG AND SHORT BASED ON INTRADAY TIME FRAME INDICATORS ARE FOR SUBSCRIBERS ONLY)

 

IMPORTANT POINTS FOR OPTION TRADERS

 

AS OPTION TRADER REMEMBER CERTAIN GOLDEN RULES FOR OPTION TRADING

  

 1. DONT HOLD AND SIT TIGHT WITH YOUR OPTION. TRADE EVERY DAY. SAY, YOU HAVE BOUGHT A PUT  OPTION AT 100, LETS SAY IT HAS COME TO 90, YOU DONT HAVE TO WAIT FOR IT  TO GO ABOVE 100 TO BOOK PROFIT,  YOU SELL YOUR OPTION  ON MARKETS INTRADAY FALL AND THEN  YOU BUY BACK  THE OPTION  ON MARKET RISE AND POCKET THE DIFFERENCE OF AT LEAST 10 TO 15. AS FAR AS POSSIBLE AVOID CARRYING OVER OF OPTIONS UNLESS YOU ARE SURE OF THE MARKETS NEXT DAY. IF YOU BOUGHT A CALL OR A PUT AT START OF THE MONTH AT 150, YOU WILL FIND ITS VALUE AT 75 OR LESS BY MIDDLE OF THE MONTH SO IF YOU HAVE NOT TRADED DAILY , HALF OF THE VALUE IS LOST BY MID MONTH.

     

2. WHETHER MARKET GOES UP OR DOWN OR FLAT, OPTION VALUE WILL REDUCE BY AT LEAST 5 POINTS EVERY DAY, SO TRADING DAILY  AT LEAST GIVES YOU BACK  THE DAILY 5 POINT AUTOMATIC LOSS DUE TO TIME DECAY. SO WRITING OPTIONS (SELLING FRESH A CALL INSTEAD OF BUYING A PUT AFTER  MARKET RISE OR SELLING FRESH A PUT  INSTEAD OF BUYING A CALL AFTER MARKET FALLS )  HAVE A MUCH BETTER CHANCE OF GAIN  THAN BUYING OPTIONS.

      

 3. IF YOUR OPTION VALUE GOES DOWN BY 25% , BOLDLY QUIT THE OPTION. THIS WILL PROTECT YOU FROM SEEING ZERO VALUE FOR YOUR OPTION. THE HABIT OF HOLDING ON TO THE OPTION THINKING THAT IT MAY GAIN AFTER SOME DAYS MAY GIVE YOU ONLY 1 SUCCESS OUT OF 10 ATTEMPTS SO BE BOLD TO QUIT EARLY. (THIS IS THE MOST IMPORTANT POINT IN OPTION TRADING, PEOPLE GENERALLY BOOK BIG LOSS IN OPTIONS WHEN THIS GOLDEN POINT IS NEGLECTED.)

      

 4. DO NOT EXHAUST ALL YOUR MONEY IN BUYING OPTIONS. ONLY TRADE IN 60% OF MONEY AND ALWAYS HAVE 40% RESERVE FOR OPPORTUNISTIC TRADES.

      

 5. THOUGH AVERAGING OF OPTIONS LOOKS VERY ATTRACTIVE, IT IS LIKE SLOW POISON. AVOID AVERAGING AS FAR AS POSSIBLE.  ADJUST YOUR MIND TO DO REVERSE TRADE,  MEANING  IN CASE OF HOLDING  5000 PUT, SELL A LOWER OPTION SAY 4800 PUT IN CASE OF FALL IN MARKETS & RISE IN PUT VALUE, OR IN CASE HOLDING  5000 CALL, THEN ON MARKET RISE WHEN CALL VALUE RISES SELL HIGHER CALL OF 5200 OR IF HOLDING A PUT, BOLDLY BUY A CALL AGAINST  THE  OBJECTION OF YOUR   MIND.

 

 6. THE ABOVE OPTION RULES ARE TIME TESTED  AND MOSTLY FOUND TO BE CORRECT. ALTHOUGH MOST OF THE TIME  YOUR ANALYST  WILL GUIDE YOU WHEN TO BUY OR SELL BUT  YOU ON YOUR OWN ALSO BE  RIGID ON THE ABOVE  5  GOLDEN RULES FOR OPTIONS. YOU MAY FAIL ONCE  BUT 9 OUT OF 10 TIMES YOU  WILL NOT REGRET.

 

7. THE MOST IMPORTANT THING TO BE KEPT IN MIND IS THAT YOU MUST HAVE YOUR OWN MENTAL MUST QUIT LEVELS SAY ABOUT 5 OR 10 POINTS TO AVOID BIGGER LOSS IN CASE THE COMMUNICATION FROM ADVISERS SIDE FAIL DUE TO UNFORESEEN CIRCUMSTANCES.

 

8.IN CASE YOU ARE HOLDING AN OPTION   WITHOUT STOP LOSS  OR HEDGING & IT GOES BADLY AGAINST YOU, THEN  DO NOT PANIC, AROUND THE END OF THE 3RD WEEK OF THE MONTH QUIT THE OPTION AND BUY THE SAME OPTION OF NEXT MONTH AND AFTER THE MARKET HAVING GONE IN ONE DIRECTION, IT WILL RETRACE  SOME AMOUNT TO HELP YOU TO GAIN IN THE NEXT MONTHS OPTION AS THE CURRENT MONTH OPTION WOULD BECOME ZERO IF HELD AGAINST THE CURRENT TREND.

 

9. THE MOST IMPORTANT POINT TO REMEMBER IN OPTION TRADING IS, IN CASE YOU HAVE BOUGHT A CALL AND IT HAS GONE AGAINST YOU, THEN WHILE AVERAGING BY BUYING ANOTHER CALL AT A LOWER PRICE, NEVER HESITATE TO BUY A PUT ALSO . MEANING EVERY TIME YOU AVERAGE YOUR ORIGINAL OPTION, AT EACH TIME BUY AN OPPOSITE OPTION ALSO. SO, EVERY TIME YOU AVERAGE THE ORIGINAL CALL, AT EACH TIME BUY A PUT ALSO ALONG WITH THE CALL . THIS PUT  INVARIABLY WILL BE YOUR PROTECTOR AS THE AVERAGED CALL WILL INVARIABLY BECOME ZERO. REMEMBER THIS GOLDEN RULE.

 

Advice for Stocks, Futures& Options (Intra day) Stop Loss not to be fed but must be kept in mind to quit the position ( DATA GIVEN BELOW  ARE SAMPLES & NOT THE ONLY FUTURES & OPTIONS TO TRADE  & MAY NOT BE SUITABLE AFTER MARKET OPENS. SO  TRADE  ONLY ON PRICES SENT THROUGH  MOBILE SMS / Y.  MSNGR DURING MARKET HOURS)

 

 

 

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